UP
United Parcel Service
UPS · Transportation & Logistics
Company brief
UP
UPSTransportation & Logistics$113B

United Parcel Service

Global leader in logistics, package delivery, and supply chain management services with integrated technology platforms

Moat score
8.7/100
13F status
Tracking pending
Main Metrics

Beginner valuation check

Price
$97.84
Next earnings
Data pending

Data pending from FMP or Finnhub.

1Y Performance
-1.4%

Negative price performance shows recent market sentiment, not a full investment thesis.

Forward P/E
14.6x

Forward P/E around 14.6x means investors pay about $14.6 for each expected $1 of future profit per share, usually the next 12 months or next fiscal year. It is a forecast, not a fact.

P/E
16.0x

A P/E around 16.0x means investors pay about $16.0 for each $1 the company earned per share over the last 12 months, usually the last four quarterly reports.

EPS
$6.18
Market Cap
$84.1B
Forward P/E is the cleanest beginner valuation anchor here; compare it with growth and recent performance.

Source: market data index. As of May 21, 2026. P/E can be unavailable or misleading when earnings are negative.

Scenario Framework

Bull / Neutral / Bear

Neutral Case

UPS continues as a mature logistics franchise where investors focus on whether the delivery network and supply-chain businesses can offset slower growth and keep the valuation anchored near current levels.

Watch signal

Forward P/E around 14.6x stays aligned with the company’s growth and operating consistency.

What you own

United Parcel Service is exposure to transportation & logistics operating model with high switching costs and 118% net revenue retention.

Base thesis

ORION system processes 20M+ package deliveries daily with proprietary route optimization algorithms - 10+ years of R&D investment

Main risk

The main question is whether the company can keep customer value compounding without margin pressure eroding the moat.

How to inspect it

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Simulator coverage pending

This ticker has a company brief, but richer workflow modules have not been built yet.

Investor Snapshot
8.7Moat Score
Net Revenue Retention118%
Retention RiskLow
AI Disruption RiskMedium
Switching CostsHigh
13F Ownership
Tracking pending

No SEC-backed 13F rows are matched for this ticker yet. We do not fabricate ownership rows.

Investment Thesis
  • ORION system processes 20M+ package deliveries daily with proprietary route optimization algorithms - 10+ years of R&D investment
  • Network effects strengthen with density: more customers = better routes = lower costs = competitive pricing advantage
  • Regulatory moat in customs/international trade - licensed customs brokers, established government relationships, complex compliance workflows
  • Physical infrastructure moat: 5,000+ facilities, 125K+ vehicles, 500+ aircraft - $50B+ replacement cost barrier
  • Enterprise switching costs extremely high: integrated ERP systems, trained staff, service level agreements, contract penalties
  • AI enhances existing strengths rather than disrupting - route optimization, demand forecasting, predictive maintenance all benefit UPS scale