TG
Target Corporation
TGT · Consumer Discretionary - Retail
Company brief
TG
TGTConsumer Discretionary - Retail$68.2B

Target Corporation

General merchandise retailer operating digital commerce platform, physical stores, and supply chain network across multiple categories including apparel, home goods, electronics, and grocery

Moat score
8.2/100
13F status
Tracking pending
Main Metrics

Beginner valuation check

Price
$120
Next earnings
Data pending

Data pending from FMP or Finnhub.

1Y Performance
+25%

Positive price performance shows recent market sentiment, not a full investment thesis.

Forward P/E
15.8x

Forward P/E around 15.8x means investors pay about $15.8 for each expected $1 of future profit per share, usually the next 12 months or next fiscal year. It is a forecast, not a fact.

P/E
14.9x

A P/E around 14.9x means investors pay about $14.9 for each $1 the company earned per share over the last 12 months, usually the last four quarterly reports.

EPS
$8.13
Market Cap
$55B
Forward P/E is the cleanest beginner valuation anchor here; compare it with growth and recent performance.

Source: market data index. As of May 21, 2026. P/E can be unavailable or misleading when earnings are negative.

Scenario Framework

Bull / Neutral / Bear

Neutral Case

Target keeps turning its store base into steady traffic and fulfillment leverage, while the market focuses on a mid-teens earnings multiple.

Watch signal

Forward P/E around 15.8x remains broadly in line with the business’s growth and quality profile.

What you own

Target Corporation is exposure to consumer discretionary - retail operating model with high switching costs and 107% net revenue retention.

Base thesis

Circle loyalty program creates powerful data moat with 100M+ active members driving personalization

Main risk

The main question is whether the company can keep customer value compounding without margin pressure eroding the moat.

How to inspect it

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Simulator coverage pending

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Investor Snapshot
8.2Moat Score
Net Revenue Retention107%
Retention RiskLow
AI Disruption RiskMedium
Switching CostsHigh
13F Ownership
Tracking pending

No SEC-backed 13F rows are matched for this ticker yet. We do not fabricate ownership rows.

Investment Thesis
  • Circle loyalty program creates powerful data moat with 100M+ active members driving personalization
  • Omnichannel fulfillment network (Drive Up, Ship from Store, Same Day) creates switching costs
  • Private label brands (Good & Gather, Cat & Jack) generate higher margins and customer stickiness
  • Store-as-fulfillment-center model leverages 1,900+ locations for competitive last-mile delivery
  • Target Circle 360 subscription ($99/year) drives repeat purchase behavior and lifetime value
  • AI-powered inventory optimization reduces markdowns while improving in-stock rates