PG
The Progressive Corporation
PGR · Insurance
Company brief
PG
PGRInsurance$85.2B

The Progressive Corporation

Leading automotive insurance provider with usage-based and traditional coverage

Moat score
82/100
13F status
Tracking pending
Main Metrics

Beginner valuation check

Price
$202
Next earnings
Data pending

Data pending from FMP or Finnhub.

1Y Performance
-29%

Negative price performance shows recent market sentiment, not a full investment thesis.

Forward P/E
12.2x

Forward P/E around 12.2x means investors pay about $12.2 for each expected $1 of future profit per share, usually the next 12 months or next fiscal year. It is a forecast, not a fact.

P/E
10.1x

A P/E around 10.1x means investors pay about $10.1 for each $1 the company earned per share over the last 12 months, usually the last four quarterly reports.

EPS
$19.67
Market Cap
$116.7B
Forward P/E is the cleanest beginner valuation anchor here; compare it with growth and recent performance.

Source: market data index. As of May 21, 2026. P/E can be unavailable or misleading when earnings are negative.

Scenario Framework

Bull / Neutral / Bear

Neutral Case

Progressive keeps turning personal auto insurance into durable cash flow, with the market focusing on how much of that strength is already reflected in the current valuation.

Watch signal

Forward P/E around 12.2x remains broadly consistent with the company’s growth profile.

What you own

The Progressive Corporation is exposure to insurance operating model with medium switching costs and 112% net revenue retention.

Base thesis

Snapshot telematics program creates massive proprietary driving behavior dataset, enabling superior risk selection and pricing accuracy vs traditional insurers

Main risk

The main question is whether the company can keep customer value compounding without margin pressure eroding the moat.

How to inspect it

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Simulator coverage pending

This ticker has a company brief, but richer workflow modules have not been built yet.

Investor Snapshot
82Moat Score
Net Revenue Retention112%
Retention RiskLow
AI Disruption RiskMedium
Switching CostsMedium
13F Ownership
Tracking pending

No SEC-backed 13F rows are matched for this ticker yet. We do not fabricate ownership rows.

Investment Thesis
  • Snapshot telematics program creates massive proprietary driving behavior dataset, enabling superior risk selection and pricing accuracy vs traditional insurers
  • 20+ years of telematics data provides competitive moat in usage-based insurance, with 90%+ customer retention rates for Snapshot participants
  • Direct-to-consumer distribution model and brand recognition reduce customer acquisition costs vs agency-dependent competitors
  • AI-powered claims processing and fraud detection systems drive industry-leading expense ratios and faster claim settlement
  • Scale advantages in data analytics and actuarial modeling become more pronounced as dataset grows larger
  • Strong balance sheet and reserve management provide stability during catastrophic loss events