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AAON Inc
AAON · Industrial Manufacturing
Company brief
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AAONIndustrial Manufacturing$4.2B

AAON Inc

Leading manufacturer of semi-custom rooftop units, chillers, air-handling units, condensing units, and coils for commercial and industrial HVAC applications

Moat score
8.2/100
13F status
Tracking pending
Main Metrics

Beginner valuation check

Price
$131
Next earnings
Data pending

Data pending from FMP or Finnhub.

1Y Performance
+30%

Positive price performance shows recent market sentiment, not a full investment thesis.

Forward P/E
40.6x

Forward P/E around 40.6x means investors pay about $40.6 for each expected $1 of future profit per share, usually the next 12 months or next fiscal year. It is a forecast, not a fact.

P/E
94.0x

A P/E around 94.0x means investors pay about $94.0 for each $1 the company earned per share over the last 12 months, usually the last four quarterly reports.

EPS
$1.42
Market Cap
$11.1B
Forward P/E is the cleanest beginner valuation anchor here; compare it with growth and recent performance.

Source: market data index. As of May 21, 2026. P/E can be unavailable or misleading when earnings are negative.

Scenario Framework

Bull / Neutral / Bear

Neutral Case

The company continues to grow, but the stock’s path depends on whether a 40.6x forward P/E stays justified by durable HVAC execution and customer stickiness.

Watch signal

Forward P/E stays in line with sustained growth and product mix quality.

What you own

AAON Inc is exposure to industrial manufacturing operating model with high switching costs and 118% net revenue retention.

Base thesis

Proprietary thermal modeling software creates 18-month switching costs for engineering firms

Main risk

The main question is whether the company can keep customer value compounding without margin pressure eroding the moat.

How to inspect it

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Simulator coverage pending

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Investor Snapshot
8.2Moat Score
Net Revenue Retention118%
Retention RiskLow
AI Disruption RiskLow
Switching CostsHigh
13F Ownership
Tracking pending

No SEC-backed 13F rows are matched for this ticker yet. We do not fabricate ownership rows.

Investment Thesis
  • Proprietary thermal modeling software creates 18-month switching costs for engineering firms
  • Custom manufacturing capabilities require extensive re-certification for competitors
  • 30+ year equipment lifespan generates predictable service revenue streams
  • Semi-custom approach prevents commoditization while maintaining scale efficiencies
  • Direct relationships with major mechanical contractors create channel stickiness
  • AHRI certifications and UL listings create regulatory switching barriers